Leaders set for Munich Security Conference as world order in danger of crumbling

US Vice President JD Vance, President of Ukraine Zelensky and up to 60 other world leaders and decisions must be convened in Munich for the next three days at the Munich Security Conference (MSc).

For almost two decades, I have attended and covered this event for the BBC, and I can’t think about a year when there was so much in the world safety. This week, a high -ranking and very experienced Western official said: “This is the most dangerous and challenged time I knew in my career.”

Why?

Simply put, the current safety order of the world security of the said international order based on the rules-the destruction. Some claim that this is already happening.

When President Putin launched his full-scale invasion of Ukraine three years ago, he was widely sentenced to a lot and not the whole world. NATO, the EU and the West generally reached an extraordinary level of unity, united to help Ukraine defend themselves, without drawing into a direct conflict with Russia.

Forbidding some destruction from Slovakia and Hungary, there was a general consensus that Putin’s invasion should be that failed, or NATO itself will be critical, while Russia will be tempted to invade another neighboring country, such as Estonia. It was often said that Ukraine should be given everything that was needed, and as long as it was necessary to ensure strong peace of power.

No longer.

President Trump effectively pulled out the carpet from Ukraine’s negotiation position, missed, thanks to the Minister of Defense, Pete Hegset, that the restoration of the territory of Ukraine where it was before the first Russian invasion in 2014, simply “not realistic”.

The US also threw Kiev’s hopes to join NATO, the key ambition of President Zelensky, and turned off to send us troops to help defend its borders from the next time Russia decides to break.

An even greater shock came with the news that President Trump had obviously a heartfelt 90-minute phone call with President Putin, thus, sharply stopped the three-year freezing of the West in conversation with the Russian leader, which has existed since time.

Over the next 72 hours, we will listen to Munich from the President Trump team here in Munich, what details their plan in Ukraine will be. Some of them still need to be developed after his messenger, the retired US Army General Keith, travels to Kiev next week.

But still the unity of NATO has been greatly deepened, because there is a great difference in the opinion in front of Ukraine between Washington and Europe. You want the war to end as soon as possible, even if it means the recognition of many requirements of Moscow.

The second still considered, at least this week, that when Russia lost about a thousand losses on the battlefield on the day and its economy, which faced its army was exhausted, and it agreed with the peaceful conditions more favorable to Ukraine.

It won’t happen now.

For the NATO alliance, which at the age of 76, other disturbing cracks begin to appear, which will also come to discuss here at the Munich Security Conference.

Last month, President Trump announced that he wanted to buy Greenland, the autonomous part of the Kingdom of Denmark. When Danish Prime Minister Frederiksson assured her population that “Greenland is not sold”, after which what was called “horrible” phone call by Donald Trump, which did not rule out the use of Greenland.

The idea of ​​one NATO country that threatens to seize part of another NATO country would be unthinkable so far. In the case of Greenland, there is no excitement for this on the territory of security, since there are more US troops in Greenland than the Danish and Copenhagen, with pleasure to agree with the ways of raising mutual defense on the island.

But even if nothing arises from this idea, and most Scandinavia really hope that this is the case, in some respects the damage has already been caused. The message came from the leader of the free world, which normally threaten the neighbors with force if you want their territory.

“It may be,” says Lord Kim Darrhi, a former UK national security adviser and British Ambassador to Washington, “that Trump’s threat to Eli Denmark NATO and his refusal to exclude hostilities against them, just talk talks But talks Even if nothing comes, it caused great harm.

Washington’s European allies will seek assurance here in Munich that this is not the case. But President Trump is already on the way to the re -dispatching role of America in the world, and the signs that he is unlikely to listen to complaints from Europe.