Trump’s OMB director suggested that he would set mass shooting and closing agencies, but no one in the White House seems to understand the economic impact of such steps.
Dumpedly Russell Voate in a video with II, distributed by President Donald Trump
In one of my favorite videos on YouTube, a group of African mercenaries sits by the chimpanzee. One of them believes that it would be fun to convey the chimpanzee uploaded AK-47. He takes his weapon, and after the dance with her a little finger on the trigger and starts shooting on the campsite. The mercenaries go feverishly, who are leaning in all directions. This is how we can consider the noble management of President Donald Trump in the country’s economic policy.
We have heard a lot about the vile Stephen Miller, whose self-expired mission is the persecution of people in color-and the chief judge of the United States Supreme Court John Roberts, who invests the legal seal of approval on what the president has decided to do. Now we hear more about the third monkey, Russell Vus, the head of Trump’s powerful management and budget, which manages the federal government’s shutdown.
The last major vought contraction came through its main role in the 2025 Heritage Foundation for Trump’s second term – a massive document that outlined a detailed plan to submit to most countries the Christian nationalist persecution of fantasies that have become so revived that Trump denied any connection with him or even knowing what it was. Although he knew nothing about it, he also said he agreed with some and disagreed with the other parts. Trump now promotes Voudge, in one of his truths social reports from the government’s disconnection as “he is a 2025 project”; Just to take the point of home, Trump posted a video AI Display vought as a gloomy reaperAnd he caused that the shutdown to resolve the fresh stream of attacks on federal workers and agencies.
In reality, the shutdown-stage in the dismantling of the Federal State Sector Sector of Services and Public benefits, which Guru Trump Steve Banan called the “administrative state” and aimed at eliminating. One of the reasons that the latest siege of Maga under the control of US government was not so difficult that the federal sector has invariably gave out for decades under the leadership of the presidents of both sides since Richard Nixon in 1970.
Federal employment near where it was when the US population was much smaller and there were much less for the federals. Supporting them, federal work was up to 3 millionAs the Vietnam war was raging. The last number is 2.9 million. Of these, about 1.4 million are in defense, internal security and veterans.
With all the conversations about the legal bureaucrats, the federal government does not really really do A lot. He mainly reports medical care, social security benefit, as well as state and local authorities. That is why Wag called it once as a giant insurance company with the army. If Vought succeeds in its last round attacks on federal agencies, it will make much less. On the eve of a stable federal reduction of federal reduction, accidental reduction is likely to hit muscles and bones, not fat in real services; This ghost is less scary in check-mailing-until, that is, Vought, Trump, and their associates begin with additional revenue cuts that support beyond the massive acts of tax and payment that Trump entered the law this spring.
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The sections regularly describe vought as the elimination of “unconstitutional” implementation of the “Dei” policy (diversity, justice, inclusion). Since the analysis was not suggested to write what Dei is or what is unconstitutional in this, Vought just says, “We do it, and if you don’t like it, it is hard.” In a less nuance language, Trump called the goal of reducing “democratic agencies” and what they do as a “scam”.
For all Trump’s claims about reducing the expenses of people who do not like, he is disorderly breaking work on employment and insurance coverage will cause chaos in the red states as well as in blue. He promises to focus on governors who say that ill -wing things are masked by his reality, which even a slight decrease in employment and healthcare is more noticeable in one of the red states with a disproportionate size.
I worked in the federal government on the 2013 shutdown, which lasted from October 1 to October 17. It was a sweet paid vacation. I succeeded in voluntarily and work for free on my old stupidity, the Institute of Economic Policy. It is unclear whether the ones that will now be made overall. What we have now means another blocking. During my shutdown, I suggested that federal unions put “work” by continuing to serve people. There was some interest, but he never came off. This would be illegal, but imagine that the jury who punished the employee for participation.
Some of the predicted cuts that fall under the mandate of the Trump-VEUPT-PREJECT 2025 may have a more direct effect on economic growth. As explained by the budget on the Congress budgetThe longer the duration of the shutdown, the higher the decline or delay in the federal costs, including the private sector contractor.
There are also specific effects of the agency. For example, reducing the capacity of an agency such as the Labor Statistics Bureau (BLS) is immediately expensive for business firms as they depend on BLS data to make decisions about future resources commitments. We hear reports of labor market updates and other economic data that will be collected and reported less frequently. The kind of obvious corruption of the data integrity, which was signaled by the dismissal of Trump’s head of BLS for what he called “falsified” (read “badly for Trump”) work numbers and its (from times) of the certified incompetent, as its replacement can lead to most of the suspects in state reports. Data from autocratic sources are not reliable data. Just ask those who lived under Mao.
The federal government has already spent $ 6.66 trillion in the 2025 financial year (since September 2024). The shutdown had to continue some time to show in the aggregate economic data, and the cost reduction should be permanent. Unlike the rhetoric, federal salary is not a large share of common federal costs. Many federal security officers are exempted from differences. In addition, most of the check is on the automatic pilot. Persons with problems will find help from employed people who are unavailable, but most of the money will still come out.
Six and two -thirds of a trillion dollars probably sound like real money, but our GDP is almost $ 30 trillion. According to international standards, this is a small government. French government costs as GDP share of 57 percent. Imagine that a real Social Democracy of the United States can do with another 10 or 15 trillion bucks.
It is not yet possible to determine the impact of interrupted state costs on the country’s gross domestic product. Attacks on targeted “democratic agencies” may be vicious and unjustified, but their national economic influence is likely to be invisible.
We could expect a localized, concentrated impact on the residences of unpaid federal staff. Northern Virginia, Colombia District and Suburban Maryland are three ground zeros. By chance, next month, the purple virginia holds a nationwide election, so the stop should strengthen the blue wave there. Virginia is also the last state of the Old Confederation, which still supports reproductive rights.
Although I reduced noticeable effects on GDP when shutdown, there are a number of signs that the economy indicated before the federal budget legislation. The economist can be difficult to gather two and two together, but it will not be the case for the general public. The sequence could be completely disconnected, and then the recession – all after Trump boasted with his economic grip and magical forces to make the American economy great again.
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There will also be many stories about the individual difficulties resulting from the reduction, especially to the thousands that cost health insurance and have been drawn to health bankruptcy. The political environment will be richly focused in the fact that the Democrats are figurative enough to translate it in its favor. As Jared Bernstein, former head of the Biden’s Economic Advisor Council, wrote about the economic landscape in this second term Trump: “If DS cannot lift it and clearly and soluble how they will change it, then they should find new lines of work.”
Last BLS unemployment rate is 4.3 percentHistorically very low. Any change of moon per month, even if negative, should be reduced as meaningless. Moreover, job growth Over the past three months involves slowing. People tend to resort to any rock they can throw into the White House, but at least now the economy is still quite good; Thanks Joe Biden and Nancy Pelosi. It is great that the volume of Trump’s poll unfavorable in the land is 4.3 percent of unemployment.
Time to blame Trump when everything goes south, because they will undoubtedly be up to 2028. We need to be for recession no matter what Trump does. As Aragorn says at the depth of Helm Lord of the Rings: “Show them not mercy, because you don’t get.”
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