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Home»Business»Who will win the election? Trump’s odds surge above 90%
Business

Who will win the election? Trump’s odds surge above 90%

November 6, 2024No Comments2 Mins Read
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Betting markets took a big swing toward Donald Trump on Tuesday night as the primary states in the presidential election were called.

So far, reliably Republican and Democratic states have fallen in the columns of Donald Trump and Kamala Harris. no swing states they have yet to call, but there are signs that Trump will win Georgia and North Carolina.

According to KalshiTrump’s odds of winning rose to 93% from 57% earlier in the day. good announceA contract where Trump won the election jumped to 90 cents from 54 cents on Monday. in the new IBKR Forecast Trader According to Interactive Brokers, Trump’s odds rose to 92% from 59% earlier in the day.

polymerizedcrypto-based prediction market, showed Trump’s odds had risen to 94.6% on Tuesday afternoon, up from 62% early in the morning.

Meanwhile, Financial markets are also starting to price Trump’s victoryAs the dollar, Treasury yields, Bitcoin and shares of Trump Media and Technology took off in after-hours trading.

The New York Times election follower Trump gives him an 89% chance of victory, and in the Washington Post the announcement he says he is slightly in favor of winning the electoral association.

Last week and weekend, the forecast markets showed powerful push for Harrisalthough he briefly took the lead in some exchanges.

Saturday’s was to bolster Harris’ prospects Des Moines Register/Mediacom Iowa poll Selzer & Co. directed Harris leads Trump, 47% to 44% among potential voters.

Track results, understand impacts. Read all of our US election coverage here.



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