Instead of deporting millions of migrants, this Republican president has chosen the opposite strategy – having given them away.
The number of illegal foreigners in America has risen to an alarming level, and the Republican president in the White House has decided to take strong steps. But instead of deportation of millions of migrants, this republican president chose the opposite strategy: legalization.
Ronald Reagan is not known for his sympathy for less happy. This is the president who struck 400,000 families with help and made a million people who are not eligible for food stamps. Overall, Reagan has cut federal expenses For less income programs, except housing is almost a third.
But even Reagan dismissed the meaningless cruelty and economic violations of the 5 million deportation campaign who lacked legal status, but simply tried to support himself and his families. “I believe in the idea of amnesty for those who postponed the roots here and lived here, although if they were, they may have entered illegally,” – he said In 1984.
With the support of the Reagan Congress passed a two -party bill in 1986 – the law on immigration reform and control – created The largest program of legalization of immigration In American history: permanent residence, from the way to citizenship, for 2.7 million undocumented foreigners.
Today we face another intersection of immigration policy. But this time it is democrats who can do everything right – Marina, economically and politically.
First, we need to understand how we got here.
Current Issue
In addition to the amnesty, the 1986 law had a second, equally important, objective: drying out the flow of illegal transitions that made the Amnesty necessary. To do this, the legislation increased the implementation on the southern border.
But this goal was not achieved. Following the initial reduction in half, fears of unauthorized immigrants on the border has grown to their previous reform From 1.6 million to 1996, only ten years after the law was passed. Recently Founded Nafta managed a tributary as unbridled competition from its more developed partners The devastated Mexican economy.
While the extended border patrol caught millions, Other millions slipped through. The number of illegal foreigners in the United States – mostly Mexicans – Care Credit from 3.5 million in 1990 to 8.7 million in 2000.
Failure to comply with the border gave an amnesty. A New York Times Editing summarized prevailing in 2000:
The main problem with the amnesty is that they give birth more illegal immigration … Amnesties signal about foreign workers that American citizenship can be made across the border, or remaining outside the visa, and hiding until Congress passes the next amnesty.
Soon forward to the even greater border crisis, from which we just appeared.
Border concerns took off in 2021From 400,000 in the previous year up to more than 1.6 million. Next year, They rose againUp to 2.4 million before reaching the previously impossible peak in 2.5 million in 2023.
This time, Mexicans were exceeded Other Latin Americans, mainly from Guatemala, Honduras, Nicaragua, Venezuela, Colombia and Cuba. A Shaft There were post-pandemic economic difficulties, accompanied by the growth of violence-albo political, criminal, or both.
But the “push” of the socio -economic and political campaigns of the house accelerated the “pulling” of the asylum policy in America.
Migrants could ask for asylum on the border with 80 -percent probability allowed to enter and live freely while their cases were in consideration. After six months of waiting, Work permits regularly provided. The backward system takes an average of 3.5 years Come to the conclusion – much longer in some immigration courts.
Application asylum exploded From 152,000 in 2021 to 945,000 in 2023.
While many asylum seekers legitimately sought asylum from danger, many others played in the system because shelter in Gambit.
Former chief immigration official Joe Biden’s administration recently admitted that “the border crisis is largely a shelter crisis. Our violated immigration laws have increasingly stimulated economic migrants, claiming that they were afraid of persecution to start a long administrative process that allowed them to stay in the US and work.”
Like Reagan in front of him, Biden sought a unification decision. But Donald Trump saw that the chaotic border took advantage of his company for the president more than calm. Under his guideRepublican senators changed the course and drowned A two -party bill This would raise the bar for asylum and enhanced border controls.
Returning to the post, Trump did not spend time on ensuring the border, using some tools provided for in a convicted bill, but going much further. Two days after the inauguration he announced The national emergency Fighting “invading” on the border, banning all claims to asylum and calling on the military to support the border patrol.
The results were strange. In JuneThe border patrol detained only 9 306 undocumented migrants on the southern border. This is the lowest annual rate – just over 100,000 – since the 1960s.
Popular
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Flip -basm of Trump’s immigration coin does all good His promise deport all 11.7 million Illegal foreigners. Here also the administration began sharply. Ice arrested twice as much Immigrants are assumed during the first half of this year, as it was last year under Biden – 95,000 against 46,000.
The task of the Democrats is to unite the strong border to convince the Americans to dismiss the wholesale deportation.
Trump’s border security policy is widely popular. Most Most, 85 percentAgree that “we need to resume order on the border” with more law enforcement agencies, immigration judges and technology. Sixty percent Trump’s closure support in the border, including the majority, 55 percent, independent.
Democrats need to narrow the gap, now marvelous 41 percentage.
With solid support of the tough border that mitigated the fear of uncontrolled immigration, the Democrats can reliably push the legislation to accept the strong benefits of Americans –75 percent In favor of providing the path to citizenship for unauthorized immigrants without criminal record.
The argument is as economic as moral and political. Unauthorized immigrants It is estimated to fill 24 percent of jobs in agriculture, 15 percent of construction and 8 percent in industrial industries, such as food treatment and production. A surge of immigration in the early 2020s Enlargement of GDP 2 percent are estimated. The deportation of these workers and consumers would have the opposite effect.
Democrats can succeed when the Reagan has fallen, supporting not only amnesty, but also a tougher asylum system and a terrible presence on the border.
This is how we can give the next democratic president the opportunity to announce again its republican predecessor made a generation back:
The provisions of legalization in this law will go far to improve the life of the class of people who now have to hide in the shade, without access to many benefits of free and open society. Very soon, many of these men and women will be able to enter sunlight and, in the end, if they want, they can become Americans.
More than Nation
The administration knows that the subordinate history, as it does, works to preserve people in this country separated and diverge with each other.
During a recent trip to Tallinn, I visited the horrific manifestations of the impossible totalitarian regime. A similar system unfolds in America Trump.
The university agreed to pay $ 221 million, silently giving way to the false right -wing education conspiracy theory.
In the 1980s, the professional fighter represented himself as a common American hero, but he was “Jabroni” all the time.
However, it is clear that the police can still stop and shake the person for the existing and black.
Migrants who are the dates of their courts are now usually faced with the arrest on the ice. But, if he does not appear, he calls the deportation order.
