On the eve of Trump’s victory – and the transformation of his administration from an unwavering ally to a mocking enemy – German firewall to the extreme right begins to crack.
BErlin-Even before the German federal elections were planned this Sunday (February 23), the result seemed predictable. Friedrich Merz, leader of the Right Central Christian Democratic Union (CDU), will become chancellor. His party would have formed a coalition with the left-wing Social Democratic Party (SPD), greenery or both. Each post -war German government, except for one, was coalition The government, and this provided the country excellent stability. The only party that would never have been included in the coalition was a far -right alternative to Germany (AFD). They were excluded by the “firewall” – an agreement between other parties to refuse to cooperate with AFD. But on January 29 the dead crack The firewall, by entering the antimigrant permit in the Bundestag, which was only due to the support of AFD.
A reply Politicians, students and the general public were volcanic. “The consensus that the democratic parties are not cooperating with the far right has been broken today,” Chancellor Olaf Scholz – Note. The condemnation came from the actions in almost all political parties, including the Merz. Former Chancellor Angela Merkel even published a rare audience statement To say that she considered it wrong “to first allow most with AFD votes.”
The participants of the rally began to go out on the street across Germany, with more than a million collectively protest Extreme right. And membership in the center and to the distant leftist political partiesmeasurement The highest number of members in 15 years, 17 470 new members registering the same day when Merz and AFD cooperated. If next stage The adoption of anti -migration legislation failed a few days later, it was because some members of their own party refused to support it.
Next week, it seemed that the ruling coalition between CDU and SPD or greenery was no longer feasible. But in view of the surveys in the area like one Posted on February 18, this is the only opportunity with the support of CDU/CSU by 30 percent, AFD – 20 percent, SPD by 16 percent, 13 percent, dy 7 percent, FDP 5 percent, BSW (SAHRA Wagenknecht Alliance, New Party, Novy Party, NEW Members of which escaped from Die Linke) 4 percent and others by 5 percent.
A AFDFounded in 2013, currently on observation in the German intelligence agency for suspicion of right wing extremismAnd three of his state offices were appointed “proven right -wing extremist” and the most popular in the States, which were part of the former East Germany.
The danger that the anti -democratic, racist, nationalist party, of course, is not just theoretical in Germany. This is something recalled again and again – in performances, at memorable events and through memorials that recognize the victims of national socialism. Some critics of Germany “Memory culture“Estimated this less than the real one, the posture. It understands its influence and meaning. The culture of German memory may not always be appropriate, but in 2025 it forms a lot of decisions of culture and voters.
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MortunWhich twice tried to become a party leader before he finally succeeds, wants to translate CDU to the right of the political spectrum after Merkel, his longtime rival, brought him closer to the center. The CDU leader signaled his anti-immigration positions as long as he is engaged in politics, this is said most of his life.
In the last few months, a number of rigid attacks caused by men who have arrived in Germany as asylum seekers dominate the news. Research showed that there is no correlation between increased migration and an increase in crime. But the attacks were cruel and devastating, and the Merz-one of the politicians whose reflex would cover his anti-immigration position. Apparently, German voters do not seem to prefer to control migration. A recent poll showing that they are most concerned with peace and security (48 percent), economics (41 percent) and social justice (40 percent). Concerns about refugees and asylum policies amounted to fourth (27 percent), only ahead of climate protection (23 percent).
The strongest relations with AFD with the political party are still with American Republicans and officials of the Trump administration. Elon Musk has increased AFD on Twitter/X spoke on the AFD video and questioned AFD leader Ellis Weidel in his podcast. . At the Munich Security Conference earlier this month, JD Vance In privately, he met with Weidel, refusing to meet with Chancellor Olaf Sholts, and during a 22-minute speech claimed that Germany “denied voters’ problems, closing the media” and destroyed democracy. Actually 79 percent of German voters view AFD negativeAnd 71 percent said they agreed with the statement that the AFD was a threat to democracy. Vens’s speech, American commentator observe“Or all for us internal consumption.”
German relations with the United States are difficult. The first question you have to answer, thinking about post -war relations between the countries: East or West? Western Germany, restored by the United States, both physically and politically in the era after the war, was closely agreed with America until Trump’s first presidency since 2017. The scale and speed of the latest Trump administration interventions may be amazing it should not be a surprise.
The statements of the Trump administration really influenced the elections, but probably not the one he thought.
On the television discussion on February 16, AFD leader Alice Weidel was ridiculed by other candidates. Unhappy and unable to formulate the policy for which its party is, she suggested that the federal police should decide how to seal the borders of the country; She was only politics. Merz noted that Weidel could be proud of Vens’s support, but this support intervened in the choice of Germany. “In general”, wrote Nicholas Richter’s commentator Sueddeutsche zeitungOther party leaders “looked as if their parties could at least go after the election.” This means that they can create a coalition, after all, the Dunel is a warning about what can happen if it doesn’t.
Germany in political terms – while the country has normalized the extreme right after the country, Germany has no. The point is not that Germany is not insured against the extreme right. The fact is that the vast majority of politicians and civil society have preferred, with the right and pragmatically, often joining those who have little different, from the opposition to the right extremism.
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The polls did not change in any significant way, as Scholtz called for confidence in the Bundestag on December 16, knowing that it would open the way to the general election, his party is unlikely to win. Support for each party kept quite stable – the point here, the point down – captured Die Linke, which seems. And yet weakness was revealed. Merz may have regretted his choice, and the public’s reaction may have accepted it, but probably the next chancellor in the country showed a bad opinion. And with the former ally – the United States – now have become a threat, the need for Germany in a solid and fundamental leadership is greater than if it is.
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