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Home»Science»Asteroid 2024 YR4: Odds of collision with Earth in 2032 have fallen again
Science

Asteroid 2024 YR4: Odds of collision with Earth in 2032 have fallen again

February 21, 2025No Comments3 Mins Read
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An artist 2024 YR4 asteroids impression that could be as it approaches Earth in December 2032

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NASA 2024 YR4 has fallen risk to an asteroid in 2032 and 1.5%, or 1-1 67A 1-1-32 The opportunity, which is still not collisions of the greatest collisions.

The astronomers found that it was an asteroid In December to earth And since it has been the focus of world telescopes and space agencies. As the asteroids compile more data in the exact orbit, astronomers have had the opportunity to knock the ground with greater accuracy. The asteroid is believed to be between 40 and 90 meters wide and has the capacity to release the equivalent of 7.7 Megatonnes. It is enough to destroy a city.

According to the NASA, the options for collision in 2032 have been falling with options 1 and 83 since the first time was seen. Since 1-167, 1-in-53, until 1-in-43, until 1-in-38, has reached 1 and 32 and now falls to 1-1-67. The European Space Agency has somewhat different, currently allowing the asteroid to collide with 1.38 percent. These changes are better understanding the path of the asteroids, necessarily than to have a greater meaning than what he can hit on the ground.

But we are running out of time to predict the risk of the asteroid. It is a specimen that 2024 Yr4 will fly behind the sun in April, bringing it from the point of view of most telescopes based on the ground. This limits how many astronomers are improved by their predictions Hugh Lewis University of Southampton, UK … “When any observation and sight goes away, it will help us improve the orbit and make better predictions. It would not necessarily describe before April. ultimately loses us. “

Given the asteroids, we can hardly get that we will get more information before re-entering 2028. However, astronomers could vary through past data, the trajectory would help the asteroid, which will improve theirs. This process is already being done by World Space Agencies, Lewis says.

Decisive information on the size and composition of weekly, James Webb Webb Space telescopes in the coming months, Lewis says. This will help us whether asteroids can do it through the atmosphere of the Earth or whether it may have a great explosion that can affect.

“This will help you determine what we need to do, because if the asteroid is a stone, it is very different from the proportion of iron metal asteroid,” says Lewis. An iron asteroid would be worse when the rocky asteroid can cause. “Mass is a huge difference in terms of energy and whether the atmosphere affected.”

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