Russia is one of the few countries that are not directly affected by the United States from new trade tariffs. However, the effects of the economy are still deep, political consequences are open to interpret.
Illustration: Anton Petrus via Getty IMGS
Energy revenues
The revenues from oil and gas exports have been reduced since the beginning of the year and the current fall of oil prices is expected to cause a deeper contraction (KommersantApril 4). Moscow’s stock exchanges are sharply and various supply chains, which are already collapsed and stretched with sanctions (RBCApril 3; Moscow timesApril 4). Saudi Arabia and other OPEC + (organization of oil-exporting countries) have led to reduced effects on global energy markets in the global energy markets (organization of oil exporters) (Moscow timesApril 4).
Provocation of peaceful efforts
This confusion could facilitate the Armenian President Vladimir Putin’s efforts of the US government’s efforts in peace against Ukraine, but in fact, many pressure remains intense.
Putin, who wants to explain his intransion, sent Kirill Dmitrivi to Washington. US Secretary of State has provided meetings with several reputable officials, including Marco Rubio (IzvestiaApril 4). This young, business-minded Elchi soften the harsh conditions for Putin’s ceasefire, but tried to investigate other avenues for possible cooperation in the Arctic Land elements (Svoboda.orgApril 4). The incentives could be offered were not particularly attractive, and the procrastination of Putin seems to be harmed by Russian oil exports (Novaya Gazeta EuropeApril 1). However, Dmitriev, Ruby’s Russia’s “Several Weeks, Not a Moon” can show that he is ready to continue peace as a achievement (JellyfishApril 4).
Ruthless attacks in Ukraine
This period ensures the ability to start another attack operation by strengthening the claim to control Putin’s strategic initiative (Republic.ruApril 4). Currently, Russia’s ruthless attacks do not cause territorial profit in spite of serious losses (InsiderApril 4).
“Large Batallions” Dwindling needs to fill the “big battalions”, despite the demographic situation in Russia, despite the demographic situation in Russia, has set the highest level of goal (Novye isvestiaFebruary 22; InterfaxMarch 31). A new attack requires a fresh trained reserve than to be proportional to raw, and only if Western help is reduced to Ukraine, you can succeed (Nezavisimaya GazetaMarch 30).
Western solidarity
Putin may assume that the Western Union of Trade War will already deprive the gathering of foreign ministers in Brussels in Brussels, plan to participate in Brussels in the North Atlantic Agreement (NATO) Summit (Novaya Gazeta EuropeMarch 5).
The demonstration of the Western Solidarity included a joint statement on Russia’s responsibility to delay and break peace talks. Repeated in addition to increasing collective security costs (KommersantApril 4). Ukrainian Foreign Minister Andrii Sybiha praised new liabilities supported by the support of many European countries after the meeting of the NATO-Ukrainian Council in April 3 (Nv.uaApril 4).
The false new recession doubts the ability to maintain the support of major European countries and invest in its defense at the same time (RBCMarch 4). Moscow tries to capitalize these doubts by strengthening these suspicions in Ukraine to strengthen the power of European peace and re-issued the government of the Government of the government (RiacApril 4; IzvestiaApril 5).
The meeting of the EU defense ministers in Warsaw last week, Ukraine’s Defense Minister Rustam Umerov created real instructions to make a great contribution to Ukraine’s European security system (Krym-realiiiApril 3).
High-level political summit
Ukraine’s consistent participation requires a high-level political summit in Europe, many security deficiencies and many strongest seeming decisions for many populist politicians (Re: RussiaApril 2).
Moscow Pundits’ depicting the consolidation of the European Union and describes numerous meetings only as an empty speech amount and “Anglo-Saxon” hostility in the hostility of the Fiasco’s self-deceit and rejectsNezavisimaya GazetaApril 2; Topwar.ruApril 6).
The new Moscow is aimed at Trump and the European Union of the Republic of China (PRC) in the People’s Republic of China (PRC), which train relations with the European Union (Rossyiskaya gazetaApril 3).
Foreign Minister Wang Yi’s visit to Moscow
In addition to the usual definition of bilateral relations, the PRC Minister Wang Yi had very little information for Moscow last three days (Knowledge of knowledgeApril 2). PRC President Xi Jinping was allegedly aimed at preparations for Russia’s Victory Day Parade, but such cases are usually in the article that requires more protocols than key issues (Ria NovostiApril 1).
Global economic confusion is a very important concern for Beijing, and in this context is the value of the strategic partnership with Moscow (The club of the ValdaMarch 28; RiacApril 3). Wang has repeated a neutral attitude to the US government’s peace efforts, but is well aware of PRC Putin’s requirements. Beijing, other actors, including the European Union, negotiations, a perception that the Trump’s transaction efforts do not work (Svoboda.orgMarch 6). Beijing can develop a revised version of the “Peace Plan”, which is waiting for support from Europe and supports its role.
Fast-moving global disorder
Moscow, a geo-based struggle, high-intensity finds itself in the peripherals of political interactions, but it does not increase the results of many tensions and many violations in global economic. The Russian war machine is preparing to experience numerous indirect effects and is likely to exacerbate economic deformities caused by a long-running war.
The determination to continue Putin’s high-bodied military operations is also interpreted by a wide international consensus to bring Trump’s war, but also to bring war with a fatigue of war in Russia. It can continue with a course of war, but the time calculation of time to withstand various pressures can be wrongly proven by a global disorder that suddenly moves rapidly.
