President Trump promised to end the fight in Ukraine. Given the winner of Russian President Vladimir V. Putin, it can be something that it can do. However, in a peculiar way, Mr. Trump has opened up a kind of negotiations for the ceasefire.
If the transaction is obtained, analysts say Mr. Trump is likely to take responsibility for Ukraine who wanted Europe to put it in place and reduce the American obligation.
However, the main question remains: How to ensure the remains of Ukraine and prevent Mr Putin’s resumption that Mr Putin’s war rest?
The perspective of the transaction has accelerated a dispute over the so-called European boots to help maintain peace, control of the ceasefire and avoid Russia’s future aggression. The question is that how many and Mr Putin will agree.
The annual Munich Security Conference is planned to be a central center for the discussion this week, the provincial president JD Vance and Secretary of State Marko Rubio.
Some European countries have raised the likelihood of Baltics, as well as the peoples of France and the French and France, and the fact that their troops are in force in Ukraine. The high-ranking German officials called this idea prematurely.
The idea that NATO has not been possible to Ukraine has not been able to become a large number of European troops from NATO countries, many officials and analysts are careless.
In such a operation, without the participation of clear American, the American air coverage, air defense and intelligence, both human and technical troops would be in serious risk of Russia and even attacks.
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky, allies, only guarantees, the guarantee of security guarantees, he said he was ready for serious talks about the end of the war.
In the absence of NATO membership, Mr. Zelensky, Mr. Zelensky, spoke more than 200,000 foreigners in the spot in Ukraine. However, this is estimated that the whole English army is about three times and impossible by analysts.
A high European official said that there are no 200,000 troops to offer the continent and the number of boots in the ground, especially the world’s second largest nuclear power, Russia should be American support. If not, the union would be always sensitive to Russian efforts to violate the political and military reliability.
Even more modest of European soldiers like 40,000, there will be a difficult goal for a continent who needs to increase slow economic growth, troops and military expenditures. And it is likely not to give true obstacle to Russia.
A real disabled force usually requires “more than 100,000 troops designated to the mission” and “more than 100,000 troops to the mission” for regular returns and emergencies.
The threat would be a policy of Claudia Master, a defense expert in the defense expert in the German International and Security Affairs Institute.
“To provide very few troops or tripwire forces without installations, a confusion and NATO states can fight against it,” he said Last paper How to ensure the ceasefire of Ukraine with a German lieutenant Colonel Aldo Kleemann.
Therefore, Poland, who is in a deep form of neighbors in Ukraine, has so far refused to participate in such a validity.
“Poland understands that it should be involved in the United States to participate in any proposal, so he wants to see what Trump wants to do,” he said, Director of the German Marshall Fund Alexandra de Hoop Scheffer. “This wants Trump from Trump that it will help security for Europeans to support Europeans on the front line.”
But this is not clear, he said. “Trump will do a deal and look for a Nobel Prize and then wait for Europeans to pay and implement it for it.”
Again, for Ukraine, without Americans, Ukraine will be important for Ukraine “willingness to be ready for useful”, and the talks will be important to ensure Europe’s seat at the table.
Mr Putin’s goals did not change: to force Ukraine’s subordinate to Russia, to expand NATO and reducing its forces, the establishment of a new buffer zone between the West and the probable Russian influence.
To train soldiers in Ukraine, it is likely to agree to any agreement in NATO or NATO-NATO countries in Ukraine, or probably no agreement. The Russian Foreign Ministry has already said that NATO’s soldiers in Ukraine will be “inaccurate” and a escaliator.
Mr Freedman three possible models – peacekeeping, tripwire and prevented – all have significant flaws.
Peace -holders who agree to the agreement and keep the warriors separately, lightly and often from many countries, usually in the United Nations. However, given that the line of contact in Ukraine is more than 1,500 kilometers or more than 800 miles, and “a large number of troops” will be required.
Prior to the occupation of 2022, there was an international monitoring mission in Europe in Europe to observe the shorter ceasefire in eastern Ukraine. This was failure, Michael Bocurkiw, Michael Bocurkiw, who has a press service since 2014.
“The Russians did everything to close the mission,” he said. “They claimed to cooperate, hid the limited access and various influential activities. They do not work in the way they want, they closed.”
A Tripwire Force is in fact that NATO has placed in eight member countries in Russia closest to Russia. There is not enough troops to stop an invasion or make Moscow look like provocative, but the concept is only a clear, unshakable connection between the troops, and once among the troops, the wire and more among the greater reinsurs are fighting.
However, there is always doubt about the nature of this guarantee. The attack force would gain an important territory before any reinforcement came, so NATO itself Increases size Tripwire forces increase the barrier against a new aggressor from the battalion to the brigade level.
The third type is a unobstructed force, but very large and well-equipped, and up to 150,000 well-equipped troops, more than Europe in the strategic room, which is in the strategic railway, air transportation satellites from air transport Continues to defense.
But it would be difficult to imagine Russia’s Mr Zelensky will fit any power if one wants.
Thus, the best answer for the near future after the potential ceasefire can be some of the “Porcupine” model: Enough weapons, resources and training to Ukrainian servicemen – to persuade Russia to try again. Such an obligation should have been for a long time.
However, the first Ukraine should stop Russia’s slow progress in the east, and Mr. Putin must be sure to end the war with a combat distribution and economic pressure. How to do this, Mr. Trump will be one of the main tests for Trump, if he promises to kill, he must succeed at the end of killing.
